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Radiation physics constraints on global warming: CO2 increase has little effect


Author: Denis Rancourt
Keywords: global warming; Denis Rancourt; Denis G Rancourt; climate science; radiation physics
Language: English
Collection: opensource

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Radiation physics constraints on global warming: CO2 increase has little effect

By Denis G. Rancourt

Former physics professor, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.

Posted on June 3, 2011: http://climateguy.blogspot.com/2011/06/radiation-physics-constraints-on-global.html

A new pdf file was uploaded here to archive.org on December 3, 2011, with small clarifications added and typos corrected. The corrected December 3, 2011, pdf file has a note to this effect in the header on page-1.

A detailed peer-review of this article is available here: http://climateguy.blogspot.com/2012/01/ray-pierrehumberts-peer-review-of.html

ABSTRACT -- I describe the basic physics of planetary radiation balance and surface temperature, using the simplest model possible that is sufficiently realistic for correct evaluations of predicted surface temperature response sensitivities to the key Earth parameters. The model is constrained by satellite absolute integrated intensity and spectroscopic measurements and the known longwave absorption cross section of CO2 gas. I show the predicted Earth temperature for zero atmospheric resonant absorption of longwave radiation (no greenhouse effect in the otherwise identical atmosphere) to be -46 C, not -19 C as often wrongly stated. Also, the net warming effect from the atmosphere, including all atmospheric processes (not just greenhouse forcing), without changing anything else (except to add the removed atmosphere) is +18 C, not the incorrect textbook value of +33 C. The double-layer atmosphere model with no free parameters provides: (a) a mean Earth surface temperature of +17 C, (b) a post-industrial warming due only to CO2 increase of delta-T = 0.4 C, (c) a temperature increase from doubling the present CO2 concentration alone (to 780 ppmv CO2; without water vapour feedback) equal to delta-T = 1.4 C, and (d) surface temperature response sensitivities that are approximately two orders of magnitude greater for solar irradiance and for planetary shortwave albedo and longwave emissivity than for the atmospheric greenhouse effect from CO2. All the model predictions robustly follow from the straightforward underlying assumptions without any need for elaborate global circulation models. The same longwave optical saturation that provides such a large radiative warming of the planet surface also ensures that the warming effect from increasing CO2 concentration is minimal. I conclude with suggested implications regarding warming alarmism, errors by sceptics, research funding, and scientific ignorance regarding climate feedbacks.

Creative Commons license: CC0 1.0 Universal


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Reviewer: Denis G Rancourt - - January 10, 2012
Subject: Peer review by expert Prof. Dr. Raymond Pierrehumbert posted
A detailed peer-review of this article by expert Prof. Dr. Raymond Pierrehumbert (Louis Block Professor, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, The University of Chicago) is available here:

http://climateguy.blogspot.com/2012/01/ray-pierrehumberts-peer-review-of.html

The text of the lengthy review email exchange is here:

http://rancourt.academicfreedom.ca/climate/2012-01-08=3-29pm=DGR-Ray-Pierrehumbert-exchange=Some-more-comments-on-your-climate-sensitivity-essay.pdf

Reviewer: chuotrain - 5.00 out of 5 stars5.00 out of 5 stars5.00 out of 5 stars5.00 out of 5 stars5.00 out of 5 stars - December 31, 2011
Subject: From the web...
Have you seen DGF in action ?
Submitted by Anonymous on Sun, 06/05/2011 - 10:43.

A recent post on ICECAP is a real winner:

Jun 05, 2011
Radiation physics constraints on global warming: CO2 increase has little effect
By Denis G. Rancourt, Former physics professor, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

http://ia700604.us.archive.org/8/items/RadiationPhysicsConstraintsOnGlob...

Follow the link to a 22 page article which is a tour de force of simple physics demonstrration. DGF's presentation puts me in mind of Pauling or Feynman lectures in my Caltech days. At least cruise over the hard stuff and savor the commentary. This guy is a keeper prof who got sideways with authority at U of Ottawa and was canned. My kinda guy!!!

Hunter Paalman
Walnut Creek, CA

Selected metadata

Identifier: RadiationPhysicsConstraintsOnGlobalWarmingCo2IncreaseHasLittleEffect
Mediatype: texts
Licenseurl: http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
Identifier-access: http://www.archive.org/details/RadiationPhysicsConstraintsOnGlobalWarmingCo2IncreaseHasLittleEffect
Identifier-ark: ark:/13960/t15m73m94
Ppi: 300
Ocr: ABBYY FineReader 8.0